The Probability of a Contradiction is Always Zero: A Proof
The proposition in question is:
(X)Pr(X) = 0 if X is a logical contradiction (i.e., the probability of a contradiction is always zero)
Here's a proof (using the axioms and definitions of the probability calculus) for the above claim:
1. Φ→Φ [asm]
2. Pr(Φ|Φ) = 1 [1, entailment]
3. Pr(Φ|Φ) + Pr(~Φ|Φ) = 1 [normality]
4. 1 - Pr(Φ|Φ) = Pr(~Φ|Φ) [3]
5. Pr(~Φ|Φ) = 0 [2, 4]
6. Pr(Φ&~Φ) = Pr(~Φ|Φ)Pr(Φ) [multiplication]
7. Pr(Φ&~Φ) = 0 [5, 6]
Comments
Post a Comment